[Grovenet] Who ARE "the Iraqi people?"
Ron D'Eau Claire
rondec at easystreet.com
Mon Feb 19 13:56:07 PST 2007
That's a good overview of the mess that's existed in that part of the world
since WWI Joy.
I find it quite plausible that we'll never get the various factions to
willingly join as one "country". I have read a great deal by people who know
that part of the world (not he political pundits, but experts on middle
eastern culture) that suggests what you say may well be true.
You wrote: As Kenny Rogers sang, "You gotta know when to hold 'em, know when
to fold
'em, know when to walk away, know when to run..."
---------------
That's always an option. It's one that the USA has used more than once.
(Vietnam, for example.)
It doesn't seem to me that's an option for a nation who would pretend to be
a leader among nations. It's more the choice of the nation fearful of
failure and bankruptcy.
And that may well be the USA today. I'm sure we'll see.
If you look back on my posts since 9/11, you'll see a consistent theme: to
"win" in reforming Iraq will take decades, at least, and involve hundreds of
thousands of people, and it may very well bankrupt us. I also noted that the
American people have a short attention span. We have a track record of not
finishing what we started unless we can do it very quickly. So, even if we
could, I doubted that we would actually reform Iraq into a democratic state.
My concerns (and objections to many proposals as described in the press)
about quitting Iraq immediately is that it's all about what we will not do,
not what we will do. Where are the calls for a multinational force to stop
the violence? Where are the calls for dialogs with the various people who
make up Iraq to determine what they want?
Make no mistake, the violence still involves no majority in Iraq. Responding
to the insurgents as if they speak for the Iraqi people would be the same as
assuming the gangs wandering the streets during the Watts riots in L.A.
represented the people of California, or even Los Angeles!
Yes, we can walk away, reaffirming our role as "ugly Americans". I'd like to
see us strive for something better.
Ron D'Eau Claire
-----Original Message-----
From: grovenet-bounces at rdrop.com [mailto:grovenet-bounces at rdrop.com] On
Behalf Of JBlair2154 at aol.com
Sent: Monday, February 19, 2007 12:41 PM
To: grovenet at rdrop.com
Subject: Re: [Grovenet] Who ARE "the Iraqi people?"
We keep talking about the Iraqis as if they were one people, but they
aren't. And therein lies the problem.
They are three peoples living uneasily together under one government: the
Sunni and Shiite Arabs, and the non-Arabic Kurds. When we allowed Saddam to
become leader, the Sunnis were happy, but life was tentative for the Shiite
and
the Kurds: any one member of the those two groups could be kidnapped,
tortured and murdered for no reason at any time. For instance, the Kurds
were never
told why 5000 of them were gassed; and the father of one Kurdish boy simply
disappeared one day...until the family was told to come pick up his body
and
to pay for the bullets that killed him.
So when we invaded and toppled Saddam, the Shiites and the Kurds were
jubilant. The Sunnis were not. And since the Sunnis had been in power for
so long,
they were the ones with the most money to buy additional weapons and start
plotting how to regain power. You can bet they had friends in other
countries,
too, who share their ideology and hate the West enough to come into the
country and help. They had no interest in a democracy; they wanted to
control the
country again, and all of its oil fields, and they wanted to get revenge
against the West for destroying the government that had favored them and
against
their long-time enemies who were celebrating the changes. No doubt they
welcomed Al Qaeda members who were also happy with the new status quo in
Iraq:
they could enter the country easily, fight their most hated enemies (the US
and
allies) and recruit new terrorists. The shattered country, without its
feared leader (who was not considered a "good Muslim" but more of what
Americans
would call a religious "liberal") had become fertile ground for
fundamentalist extremism to take hold.
Our best friends in Iraq are the Kurds, of course. But they want Kirkuk,
and
its rich oil fields, which was historically theirs. This is why Saddam was
so oppressive toward them. The most obvious solution might be for us to
persuade the U.N. to draw boundaries and make Kurdistan a nation of its own,
with
Kirkuk included. But Kurd territory extends into Iran and into Turkey, and
neither of those countries want a Kurdistan nation -- esp. if it includes
the
rich oil fields of Kirkuk. They would fear that the Kurds would also
eventually
take over some areas they consider their own. So we would end up with a
good, stable MidEast ally, Kurdistan, but risk losing our long-time ally,
Turkey,
and also making Iranians despise us even more.
It would be a new Israel-Palestine scenario, except that mostly Muslims
would be involved instead of Jews vs. Muslims.
All of this considered, I'm not surprised that a new, democratic form of
government has not taken hold in Iraq -- esp. when it is so clearly under
U.S.
direction. Our presence in their country has created new friends AND new
enemies for us and made it easier for terrorists to gain a foothold. It's
proven
that if we don't like the leader of a country, and it has something we need
(such as oil) we can find an excuse to bomb their country. But there is no
"victory" for us there, certainly not through increased military action.
I'd love
to think that a six-month troop surge will enable us to kill all the bad
guys and help a new government get started...and since that's the agenda,
I'll
pray that by some miracle it works...but frankly, I'm pessimistic. I
envision
only continued slaughter and the spilling of even more American blood. It's
time to put aside our nationalistic, competitive pride in "winning" and
admit that this war was an unwinnable mistake. We may owe "the Iraqi
people"
more than we can ever repay...but we can be alert to provide small favors
to
the right Iraqis at the right times. Our military personnel can still be
proud of their accomplishments, for no fault lies with them. (And
recruiting has
already become very difficult, so our withdrawal won't cause any sudden
drop
in young people signing up; in fact, it may have the opposite effect.)
As Kenny Rogers sang, "You gotta know when to hold 'em, know when to fold
'em, know when to walk away, know when to run..."
Joy
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